Bill Clinton: Hillary Must Win NC to Win Nomination

Bill Clinton moves the goalposts again:

Bill Clinton said Friday in Charlotte that his wife’s presidential bid hinges in many ways on whether the New York senator wins North Carolina’s Democratic primary.

Speaking to about 4,000 at a rally at UNC Charlotte, the former president said Hillary Clinton would likely have to win the state’s May 6 primary to have any chance at winning the overall popular vote and ultimately overtaking Sen. Barack Obama as the party’s nominee.

Heh.

Rasmussen has Obama up in North Carolina by 23%.

I can only imagine how badly the feelings  the feelings of NC voters will be hurt when they learn that like MO, MS, GA, VA and many other states when they learn on May 7 that their state doesn’t count.

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5 responses to “Bill Clinton: Hillary Must Win NC to Win Nomination

  1. Well she has won the states so far that she has had to win.

  2. So that’s why she had the nomination sewed up after Super-Duper Tuesday as she had planned?

  3. States she had to win?? Like Iowa?? How about Wisconsin??

    Better yet, what were the states that she *didn’t* have to win? ‘Cause in the rear-view mirror, they’re all looking pretty important.

    “States she had to win” sounds awfully similar to me to “states that matter.” News flash: they all matter.

    The only thing I can figure out is that the last time Bill Clinton threw down this kind of gauntlet, Senator Clinton *won* Texas – except for the little-reported fact that she didn’t. But, being somewhat familiar with North Carolina, it doesn’t seem to me that it stacks up that well for her. There’s a large African-American population, state-wide. Raleigh/Durham has a lot of educated, upper-middle class voters to whom Obama has appealed traditionally. Ditto Chapel Hill. Asheville and Winston-Salem also strike me as marginally more Obama friendly. Charlotte could swing either way – but a significant African-American population seems to favor Senator Obama.

    The real wild-card seems to be the Limbaugh effect, as massive amounts of Republican voters have – in the last few months – switched their party affiliation to either “Democratic” or “unaffiliated” – which would still permit them to participate in the primary according to North Carolina law.

  4. GB, do you know how hard it is for GOPer and Indies to switch their registration? If it’s a hassle, I’m thinking that the Limbaugh effect won’t play much of a role in NC.

  5. From what I’ve seen, it’s not that tough, and it’s already taken place to a decent extent.

    Per The Hotline, about 30,000 NC voters changed their party affiliation this year between January and March. Of those, about 12,000 previously identified as Republicans and had switched either to ‘Democratic’ or ‘Independent/Unaffiliated.’ Those who are registered as “unaffiliated” may participate in either party’s primary.

    I’ve got a feeling that the shifters in January and most of February are legitimate. In March, once the Republican primary had been decided, it seems the Limbaugh Effect might be rearing its head. I’m uncertain as to the precise breakdown by month.

    It appears that the period during which one may switch their affiliation (or register at all, for that matter…) lapses on 4/11.

    The latest polls out of NC that I’ve seen give Obama about a 16-point lead….hopefully, more than enough to overcome the Limbaugh Effect.

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