Powered chiefly by the public’s economic concerns, Obama leads John McCain by 10 points among likely voters, 53-43 percent, in this ABC News/Washington Post poll. Though every race is different, no presidential candidate has come back from an October deficit this large in pre-election polls dating to 1936.
Stats like these usually don’t mean all that much. Something could happen. Obama could blunder at the debate on Wednesday (unlikely), there could be a terrorist attack before election day (improbable), or Americans will catch McCain fever (impossible).
But I’m feeling pretty damn confident that Barack Obama will be our next president.